West Ham United v Preston North End
18+EFL Championship · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- West Ham United win
- 73%
- Draw
- 13%
- Preston North End win
- 14%
FootyGrounds prediction
West Ham United to win
Model probability 73%
Predicted scoreline
3–1 (range 2–0 to 4–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score69 / 100 · Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- West Ham United strength rating 1610 v Preston North End 1492
- West Ham United home record this season: 3W 1D 2L
- Preston North End away form: 0W 1D 6L, 5 scored / 17 conceded
- Superior goal difference: West Ham United +16 v Preston North End -17
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 73% (Elo 66%, goals 81%, recent form 77%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model66%
- Goals model81%
- Recent-form model77%
Component disagreement: 15.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.