Bristol City v Norwich City
18+EFL Championship · Sat 7 Nov, 12:30
Data: excellent
- Bristol City win
- 43%
- Draw
- 25%
- Norwich City win
- 32%
FootyGrounds prediction
Bristol City to win
Model probability 43%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score49 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Bristol City strength rating 1546 v Norwich City 1551
- Bristol City home record this season: 2W 0D 4L
- Norwich City away form: 2W 0D 4L, 10 scored / 12 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 45%, goals 43%, recent form 41%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model45%
- Goals model43%
- Recent-form model41%
Component disagreement: 4.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 46% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 43%.
- 2 new results added
- Away strength rating up 4 points
- Updated rest days for the away club
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.