Cardiff City v West Ham United
18+EFL Championship · Wed 4 Nov, 19:45
Data: excellent
- Cardiff City win
- 35%
- Draw
- 26%
- West Ham United win
- 39%
FootyGrounds prediction
West Ham United to win
Model probability 39%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score36 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- West Ham United strength rating 1610 v Cardiff City 1562
- West Ham United away record this season: 3W 3D 0L
- Cardiff City home form: 3W 3D 0L, 13 scored / 6 conceded
- Superior goal difference: West Ham United +16 v Cardiff City 0
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 34%, goals 47%, recent form 34%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. Cardiff City are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model34%
- Goals model47%
- Recent-form model34%
Component disagreement: 13.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 38% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 39%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.