Millwall v Queens Park Rangers
18+EFL Championship · Sat 21 Nov, 12:30
Data: excellent
- Millwall win
- 38%
- Draw
- 27%
- Queens Park Rangers win
- 35%
FootyGrounds prediction
Millwall to win
Model probability 38%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Millwall strength rating 1552 v Queens Park Rangers 1588
- Millwall home record this season: 2W 2D 2L
- Queens Park Rangers away form: 2W 3D 1L, 7 scored / 7 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 39%, goals 39%, recent form 35%)
Main uncertainty: Queens Park Rangers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model39%
- Goals model39%
- Recent-form model35%
Component disagreement: 4.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 37% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 38%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.