West Bromwich Albion v Southampton
18+EFL Championship · Tue 3 Nov, 20:00
Data: excellent
- West Bromwich Albion win
- 37%
- Draw
- 27%
- Southampton win
- 36%
FootyGrounds prediction
West Bromwich Albion to win
Model probability 37%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- West Bromwich Albion strength rating 1578 v Southampton 1606
- West Bromwich Albion home record this season: 3W 2D 1L
- Southampton away form: 2W 2D 2L, 8 scored / 8 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 41%, goals 35%, recent form 34%)
Main uncertainty: Southampton are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model41%
- Goals model35%
- Recent-form model34%
Component disagreement: 6.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 37% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 37%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.