Queens Park Rangers v Burnley
18+EFL Championship · Tue 3 Nov, 19:45
Data: excellent
- Queens Park Rangers win
- 60%
- Draw
- 19%
- Burnley win
- 22%
FootyGrounds prediction
Queens Park Rangers to win
Model probability 60%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score64 / 100 · Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Queens Park Rangers strength rating 1588 v Burnley 1528
- Queens Park Rangers home record this season: 3W 2D 1L
- Burnley away form: 1W 1D 4L, 9 scored / 15 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Queens Park Rangers +7 v Burnley -8
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 60% (Elo 57%, goals 62%, recent form 60%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model57%
- Goals model62%
- Recent-form model60%
Component disagreement: 5.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 60% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 60%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.