Udinese v AS Roma
18+Serie A · Sat 31 Oct, 17:00
Data: good
- Udinese win
- 24%
- Draw
- 21%
- AS Roma win
- 55%
FootyGrounds prediction
AS Roma to win
Model probability 55%
Predicted scoreline
1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score36 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- AS Roma strength rating 1676 v Udinese 1577
- AS Roma away record this season: 2W 2D 0L
- Udinese home form: 0W 1D 4L, 2 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: AS Roma +15 v Udinese -9
- AS Roma unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Udinese played just 3 days ago
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 44%, goals 61%, recent form 68%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model61%
- Recent-form model68%
Component disagreement: 24.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 55% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 55%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.