Dundee United v Motherwell
18+Scottish Premiership · Sat 7 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Dundee United win
- 59%
- Draw
- 19%
- Motherwell win
- 23%
FootyGrounds prediction
Dundee United to win
Model probability 59%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Dundee United strength rating 1628 v Motherwell 1584
- Dundee United home record this season: 2W 2D 1L
- Motherwell away form: 1W 2D 3L, 10 scored / 12 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Dundee United 0 v Motherwell -7
- Dundee United unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 59% (Elo 54%, goals 54%, recent form 77%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 23 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model54%
- Goals model54%
- Recent-form model77%
Component disagreement: 22.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 59% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 59%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.