RC Strasbourg v Auxerre
18+Ligue 1 · Sun 1 Nov, 14:00
Data: good
- RC Strasbourg win
- 44%
- Draw
- 24%
- Auxerre win
- 32%
FootyGrounds prediction
RC Strasbourg to win
Model probability 44%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score36 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- RC Strasbourg strength rating 1600 v Auxerre 1604
- RC Strasbourg home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
- Auxerre away form: 1W 0D 3L, 7 scored / 13 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 45%, goals 48%, recent form 36%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. Auxerre are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model45%
- Goals model48%
- Recent-form model36%
Component disagreement: 12.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 44% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 44%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.