Toulouse FC v RC Strasbourg
18+Ligue 1 · Fri 6 Nov, 19:45
Data: good
- Toulouse FC win
- 54%
- Draw
- 20%
- RC Strasbourg win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
Toulouse FC to win
Model probability 54%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score49 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Toulouse FC strength rating 1622 v RC Strasbourg 1600
- Toulouse FC home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
- RC Strasbourg away form: 1W 0D 4L, 8 scored / 13 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Toulouse FC +1 v RC Strasbourg -6
- Toulouse FC unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 54% (Elo 50%, goals 57%, recent form 59%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model50%
- Goals model57%
- Recent-form model59%
Component disagreement: 8.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 54% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 54%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.