Lorient v Brest
18+Ligue 1 · Mon 2 Nov, 19:45
Data: good
- Lorient win
- 47%
- Draw
- 24%
- Brest win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
Lorient to win
Model probability 47%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score42 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Lorient strength rating 1626 v Brest 1619
- Lorient home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
- Brest away form: 1W 2D 1L, 6 scored / 6 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 48%, goals 43%, recent form 52%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model48%
- Goals model43%
- Recent-form model52%
Component disagreement: 9.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 47% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 47%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.