Olympique Lyonnais v Angers
18+Ligue 1 · Sun 1 Nov, 16:15
Data: good
- Olympique Lyonnais win
- 58%
- Draw
- 19%
- Angers win
- 23%
FootyGrounds prediction
Olympique Lyonnais to win
Model probability 58%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score54 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Olympique Lyonnais strength rating 1641 v Angers 1595
- Olympique Lyonnais home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
- Angers away form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Olympique Lyonnais +6 v Angers -6
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 55%, goals 62%, recent form 58%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model55%
- Goals model62%
- Recent-form model58%
Component disagreement: 7.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 58% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 58%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.