St Johnstone v Dundee
18+Scottish Premiership · Sat 7 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- St Johnstone win
- 37%
- Draw
- 27%
- Dundee win
- 36%
FootyGrounds prediction
St Johnstone to win
Model probability 37%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- St Johnstone strength rating 1610 v Dundee 1634
- St Johnstone home record this season: 2W 3D 1L
- Dundee away form: 2W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 6 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 41%, goals 34%, recent form 35%)
Main uncertainty: Dundee are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model41%
- Goals model34%
- Recent-form model35%
Component disagreement: 7.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 38% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 37%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.