St Mirren v Rangers
18+Scottish Premiership · Sat 7 Nov, 20:00
Data: excellent
- St Mirren win
- 29%
- Draw
- 26%
- Rangers win
- 45%
FootyGrounds prediction
Rangers to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score36 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Rangers strength rating 1662 v St Mirren 1602
- Rangers away record this season: 3W 3D 0L
- St Mirren home form: 2W 2D 2L, 8 scored / 10 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Rangers +10 v St Mirren -7
- Rangers unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 36%, goals 50%, recent form 55%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 19 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model36%
- Goals model50%
- Recent-form model55%
Component disagreement: 19.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.