Charlotte FC v Orlando City SC
18+Major League Soccer · Sat 31 Oct, 17:00
Data: good
- Charlotte FC win
- 54%
- Draw
- 21%
- Orlando City SC win
- 25%
FootyGrounds prediction
Charlotte FC to win
Model probability 54%
Predicted scoreline
3–1 (range 2–0 to 4–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Charlotte FC strength rating 1620 v Orlando City SC 1620
- Superior goal difference: Charlotte FC +10 v Orlando City SC -15
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 54% (Elo 46%, goals 64%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model64%
Component disagreement: 17.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 54% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 54%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.