Paris FC v AS Monaco
18+Ligue 1 · Sun 1 Nov, 16:15
Data: good
- Paris FC win
- 45%
- Draw
- 25%
- AS Monaco win
- 31%
FootyGrounds prediction
Paris FC to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score45 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Paris FC strength rating 1636 v AS Monaco 1641
- Paris FC home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
- AS Monaco away form: 2W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 3 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 45%, goals 43%, recent form 47%)
Main uncertainty: AS Monaco are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. AS Monaco have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model45%
- Goals model43%
- Recent-form model47%
Component disagreement: 3.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.