Aberdeen v Hibernian
18+Scottish Premiership · Sat 7 Nov, 17:45
Data: excellent
- Aberdeen win
- 49%
- Draw
- 23%
- Hibernian win
- 28%
FootyGrounds prediction
Aberdeen to win
Model probability 49%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score56 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Aberdeen strength rating 1607 v Hibernian 1586
- Aberdeen home record this season: 2W 1D 3L
- Hibernian away form: 2W 1D 2L, 6 scored / 6 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Aberdeen -2 v Hibernian -6
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 50%, goals 48%, recent form 49%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model50%
- Goals model48%
- Recent-form model49%
Component disagreement: 1.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 49% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 49%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.