Salford City v Swindon Town
18+EFL League Two · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Salford City win
- 46%
- Draw
- 24%
- Swindon Town win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
Salford City to win
Model probability 46%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Salford City strength rating 1430 v Swindon Town 1439
- Salford City home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
- Swindon Town away form: 0W 1D 2L, 0 scored / 7 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 45%, goals 45%, recent form 51%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model45%
- Goals model45%
- Recent-form model51%
Component disagreement: 6.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 46% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 46%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.