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Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake

18+

Major League Soccer · Thu 24 Sept, 01:30

Data: good
Seattle Sounders FC win
44%
Draw
25%
Real Salt Lake win
31%

FootyGrounds prediction

Seattle Sounders FC to win

Model probability 44%

Predicted scoreline

1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate

Why the model predicts this

  • Seattle Sounders FC strength rating 1620 v Real Salt Lake 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 46%, goals 42%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Model agreement

Model components

  • Elo strength model46%
  • Goals model42%

Component disagreement: 4.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.

How this prediction has changed

Previously 44% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 44%.

Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.