Paris FC v RC Strasbourg
18+Ligue 1 · Sat 19 Sept, 15:15
Data: excellent
- Paris FC win
- 49%
- Draw
- 23%
- RC Strasbourg win
- 28%
FootyGrounds prediction
Paris FC to win
Model probability 49%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score50 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Paris FC strength rating 1637 v RC Strasbourg 1630
- Superior goal difference: Paris FC +4 v RC Strasbourg +1
- Paris FC unbeaten in their last 4 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 47%, goals 53%, recent form 46%)
Main uncertainty: RC Strasbourg are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model47%
- Goals model53%
- Recent-form model46%
Component disagreement: 7.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 49% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:04), now 49%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.