Grimsby Town v Rotherham United
18+EFL League Two · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Grimsby Town win
- 57%
- Draw
- 19%
- Rotherham United win
- 23%
FootyGrounds prediction
Grimsby Town to win
Model probability 57%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score60 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Grimsby Town strength rating 1456 v Rotherham United 1415
- Grimsby Town home record this season: 4W 1D 2L
- Rotherham United away form: 1W 1D 4L, 4 scored / 8 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Grimsby Town +6 v Rotherham United -6
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 57% (Elo 54%, goals 60%, recent form 62%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model54%
- Goals model60%
- Recent-form model62%
Component disagreement: 7.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:13. Read the methodology.