Yeovil Town v Solihull Moors
18+National League · Fri 18 Sept, 18:45
Data: good
- Yeovil Town win
- 61%
- Draw
- 18%
- Solihull Moors win
- 21%
FootyGrounds prediction
Yeovil Town to win
Model probability 61%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score46 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Yeovil Town strength rating 1382 v Solihull Moors 1331
- Yeovil Town home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
- Solihull Moors away form: 0W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Yeovil Town +1 v Solihull Moors -11
- Solihull Moors played just 3 days ago
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 61% (Elo 56%, goals 64%, recent form 68%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model56%
- Goals model64%
- Recent-form model68%
Component disagreement: 12.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 61% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 61%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.