Briton Ferry Llansawel v Trefelin
18+Cymru Premier · Fri 18 Sept, 18:45
Data: good
- Briton Ferry Llansawel win
- 56%
- Draw
- 20%
- Trefelin win
- 23%
FootyGrounds prediction
Briton Ferry Llansawel to win
Model probability 56%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score46 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Briton Ferry Llansawel strength rating 1580 v Trefelin 1548
- Briton Ferry Llansawel home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
- Trefelin away form: 0W 1D 3L, 2 scored / 11 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Briton Ferry Llansawel -10 v Trefelin -20
- Trefelin played just 3 days ago
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 52%, goals 58%, recent form 63%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model52%
- Goals model58%
- Recent-form model63%
Component disagreement: 10.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 56% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 56%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.