FC Halifax Town v Boston United
18+National League · Tue 29 Sept, 18:45
Data: good
- FC Halifax Town win
- 53%
- Draw
- 21%
- Boston United win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
FC Halifax Town to win
Model probability 53%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score45 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- FC Halifax Town strength rating 1388 v Boston United 1366
- FC Halifax Town home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
- Boston United away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 4 conceded
- Superior goal difference: FC Halifax Town +3 v Boston United -2
- FC Halifax Town have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 50%, goals 52%, recent form 59%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model50%
- Goals model52%
- Recent-form model59%
Component disagreement: 8.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 53% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 53%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.