Cliftonville v Ballymena United
18+NIFL Premiership · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Cliftonville win
- 52%
- Draw
- 21%
- Ballymena United win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
Cliftonville to win
Model probability 52%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score53 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Cliftonville strength rating 1632 v Ballymena United 1613
- Cliftonville home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
- Ballymena United away form: 1W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 7 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Cliftonville +3 v Ballymena United -1
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 50%, goals 52%, recent form 58%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model50%
- Goals model52%
- Recent-form model58%
Component disagreement: 7.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 52% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 52%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.