Boreham Wood v Kidderminster Harriers
18+National League · Tue 29 Sept, 18:00
Data: good
- Boreham Wood win
- 48%
- Draw
- 23%
- Kidderminster Harriers win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
Boreham Wood to win
Model probability 48%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score42 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Boreham Wood strength rating 1421 v Kidderminster Harriers 1408
- Boreham Wood home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
- Kidderminster Harriers away form: 2W 0D 1L, 7 scored / 5 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Boreham Wood +8 v Kidderminster Harriers +5
- Boreham Wood unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 49%, goals 50%, recent form 44%)
Main uncertainty: Kidderminster Harriers are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model49%
- Goals model50%
- Recent-form model44%
Component disagreement: 6.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 48% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 48%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.