Tamworth v Wealdstone
18+National League · Sat 19 Sept, 11:30
Data: good
- Tamworth win
- 41%
- Draw
- 25%
- Wealdstone win
- 35%
FootyGrounds prediction
Tamworth to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score33 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Tamworth strength rating 1350 v Wealdstone 1367
- Tamworth home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
- Wealdstone away form: 2W 1D 1L, 7 scored / 4 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 43%, recent form 34%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model43%
- Recent-form model34%
Component disagreement: 9.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.