Walsall v Barnet
18+EFL League Two · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Walsall win
- 42%
- Draw
- 26%
- Barnet win
- 32%
FootyGrounds prediction
Walsall to win
Model probability 42%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Walsall strength rating 1464 v Barnet 1484
- Walsall home record this season: 3W 2D 1L
- Barnet away form: 3W 2D 0L, 12 scored / 7 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 42%, goals 46%, recent form 34%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Barnet are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model42%
- Goals model46%
- Recent-form model34%
Component disagreement: 11.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 42% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:06), now 42%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:13. Read the methodology.