Angers v OGC Nice
18+Ligue 1 · Sun 8 Nov, 16:15
Data: good
- Angers win
- 37%
- Draw
- 26%
- OGC Nice win
- 37%
FootyGrounds prediction
OGC Nice to win
Model probability 37%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score32 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- OGC Nice strength rating 1629 v Angers 1595
- OGC Nice away record this season: 1W 0D 3L
- Angers home form: 1W 1D 3L, 5 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: OGC Nice +1 v Angers -6
- OGC Nice have won 4 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 33%, goals 39%, recent form 42%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model33%
- Goals model39%
- Recent-form model42%
Component disagreement: 8.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 37% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 37%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.