Queen of the South v Cove Rangers
18+Scottish League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Queen of the South win
- 41%
- Draw
- 24%
- Cove Rangers win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
Queen of the South to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score27 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Queen of the South strength rating 1458 v Cove Rangers 1484
- Queen of the South home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
- Cove Rangers away form: 0W 0D 4L, 1 scored / 8 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 41%, goals 30%, recent form 61%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 31 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model41%
- Goals model30%
- Recent-form model61%
Component disagreement: 30.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:06), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.