Real Betis v Getafe CF
18+La Liga · Thu 17 Sept, 17:00
Data: excellent
- Real Betis win
- 55%
- Draw
- 21%
- Getafe CF win
- 24%
FootyGrounds prediction
Real Betis to win
Model probability 55%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score37 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Real Betis strength rating 1633 v Getafe CF 1610
- Superior goal difference: Real Betis +1 v Getafe CF -3
- Real Betis have won 4 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 51%, goals 51%, recent form 74%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. Getafe CF are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model51%
- Goals model51%
- Recent-form model74%
Component disagreement: 23.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 55% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 55%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.