Haverfordwest County v Flint Town United
18+Cymru Premier · Sat 3 Oct, 13:30
Data: good
- Haverfordwest County win
- 53%
- Draw
- 21%
- Flint Town United win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
Haverfordwest County to win
Model probability 53%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score33 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Haverfordwest County strength rating 1586 v Flint Town United 1573
- Haverfordwest County home record this season: 2W 0D 3L
- Flint Town United away form: 0W 1D 4L, 3 scored / 13 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Haverfordwest County -8 v Flint Town United -13
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 49%, goals 49%, recent form 71%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 22 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model49%
- Goals model49%
- Recent-form model71%
Component disagreement: 22.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 53% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 53%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.