Salford City v Northampton Town
18+EFL League Two · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Salford City win
- 56%
- Draw
- 21%
- Northampton Town win
- 23%
FootyGrounds prediction
Salford City to win
Model probability 56%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score51 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Salford City strength rating 1487 v Northampton Town 1437
- Salford City home record this season: 5W 0D 1L
- Northampton Town away form: 1W 2D 2L, 4 scored / 5 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Salford City +9 v Northampton Town -1
- Salford City unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 55%, goals 51%, recent form 65%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. Northampton Town are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model55%
- Goals model51%
- Recent-form model65%
Component disagreement: 14.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 56% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:06), now 56%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:13. Read the methodology.