Hamilton Academical v Peterhead
18+Scottish League One · Sat 3 Oct, 16:30
Data: excellent
- Hamilton Academical win
- 65%
- Draw
- 17%
- Peterhead win
- 18%
FootyGrounds prediction
Hamilton Academical to win
Model probability 65%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score59 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Hamilton Academical strength rating 1545 v Peterhead 1472
- Hamilton Academical home record this season: 3W 0D 0L
- Peterhead away form: 1W 1D 2L, 3 scored / 7 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Hamilton Academical +12 v Peterhead -7
- Hamilton Academical unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 65% (Elo 59%, goals 74%, recent form 64%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model59%
- Goals model74%
- Recent-form model64%
Component disagreement: 15.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 65% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:06), now 65%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.