Livingston v Inverness Caledonian Thistle
18+Scottish Championship · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Livingston win
- 51%
- Draw
- 23%
- Inverness Caledonian Thistle win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
Livingston to win
Model probability 51%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score56 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Livingston strength rating 1570 v Inverness Caledonian Thistle 1553
- Livingston home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
- Inverness Caledonian Thistle away form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Livingston +3 v Inverness Caledonian Thistle -2
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 49%, goals 52%, recent form 52%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model49%
- Goals model52%
- Recent-form model52%
Component disagreement: 2.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 51% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 51%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:04. Read the methodology.