Peterborough United v Doncaster Rovers
18+EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Peterborough United win
- 47%
- Draw
- 23%
- Doncaster Rovers win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
Peterborough United to win
Model probability 47%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score32 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Peterborough United strength rating 1479 v Doncaster Rovers 1483
- Peterborough United home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
- Doncaster Rovers away form: 0W 1D 2L, 3 scored / 5 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 45%, goals 39%, recent form 63%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model45%
- Goals model39%
- Recent-form model63%
Component disagreement: 24.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 47% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 47%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.