Tranmere Rovers v Walsall
18+EFL League Two · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Tranmere Rovers win
- 42%
- Draw
- 26%
- Walsall win
- 32%
FootyGrounds prediction
Tranmere Rovers to win
Model probability 42%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score45 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Tranmere Rovers strength rating 1448 v Walsall 1459
- Tranmere Rovers home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
- Walsall away form: 1W 2D 0L, 5 scored / 2 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 44%, goals 39%, recent form 44%)
Main uncertainty: Walsall are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Walsall have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model39%
- Recent-form model44%
Component disagreement: 4.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 42% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 42%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.