Worthing v FC Halifax Town
18+National League · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00
Data: good
- Worthing win
- 43%
- Draw
- 24%
- FC Halifax Town win
- 33%
FootyGrounds prediction
Worthing to win
Model probability 43%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Worthing strength rating 1378 v FC Halifax Town 1388
- Worthing home record this season: 2W 1D 2L
- FC Halifax Town away form: 1W 0D 3L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 44%, goals 42%, recent form 40%)
Main uncertainty: FC Halifax Town are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model42%
- Recent-form model40%
Component disagreement: 4.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 43% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 43%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.