Wolverhampton Wanderers v Portsmouth
18+EFL Championship · Wed 16 Sept, 18:45
Data: good
- Wolverhampton Wanderers win
- 55%
- Draw
- 20%
- Portsmouth win
- 25%
FootyGrounds prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win
Model probability 55%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score46 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Wolverhampton Wanderers strength rating 1580 v Portsmouth 1555
- Superior goal difference: Wolverhampton Wanderers +5 v Portsmouth -1
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 51%, goals 60%, recent form 56%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model51%
- Goals model60%
- Recent-form model56%
Component disagreement: 9.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 55% (calculated 31/08/2026, 12:20:07), now 55%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/08/2026, 14:20:08. Read the methodology.