Cliftonville v Glentoran
18+NIFL Premiership · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Cliftonville win
- 52%
- Draw
- 22%
- Glentoran win
- 27%
FootyGrounds prediction
Cliftonville to win
Model probability 52%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score50 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Cliftonville strength rating 1632 v Glentoran 1615
- Cliftonville home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
- Glentoran away form: 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Cliftonville +3 v Glentoran 0
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 49%, goals 49%, recent form 60%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model49%
- Goals model49%
- Recent-form model60%
Component disagreement: 10.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 52% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 52%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.