Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 27 Sept, 00:30
Data: good
- Seattle Sounders FC win
- 45%
- Draw
- 24%
- Minnesota United FC win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
Seattle Sounders FC to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Seattle Sounders FC strength rating 1620 v Minnesota United FC 1620
- Superior goal difference: Seattle Sounders FC -5 v Minnesota United FC -6
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 44%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model44%
Component disagreement: 2.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.