Sparta Rotterdam v Heerenveen
18+Eredivisie · Sat 19 Sept, 16:45
Data: excellent
- Sparta Rotterdam win
- 45%
- Draw
- 24%
- Heerenveen win
- 31%
FootyGrounds prediction
Sparta Rotterdam to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score44 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Sparta Rotterdam strength rating 1611 v Heerenveen 1607
- Sparta Rotterdam home record this season: 0W 2D 1L
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 47%, goals 46%, recent form 37%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model47%
- Goals model46%
- Recent-form model37%
Component disagreement: 9.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:04), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.