Boreham Wood v Harrogate Town
18+National League · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: good
- Boreham Wood win
- 50%
- Draw
- 21%
- Harrogate Town win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
Boreham Wood to win
Model probability 50%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Boreham Wood strength rating 1421 v Harrogate Town 1407
- Boreham Wood home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
- Harrogate Town away form: 2W 0D 1L, 6 scored / 4 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Boreham Wood +8 v Harrogate Town +7
- Boreham Wood unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 51%, recent form 49%)
Main uncertainty: Harrogate Town are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model49%
- Goals model51%
- Recent-form model49%
Component disagreement: 2.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 50% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 50%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.