Boreham Wood v Altrincham
18+National League · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00
Data: good
- Boreham Wood win
- 61%
- Draw
- 18%
- Altrincham win
- 22%
FootyGrounds prediction
Boreham Wood to win
Model probability 61%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score51 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Boreham Wood strength rating 1421 v Altrincham 1365
- Boreham Wood home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
- Altrincham away form: 1W 0D 3L, 3 scored / 8 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Boreham Wood +8 v Altrincham -5
- Boreham Wood unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 61% (Elo 56%, goals 66%, recent form 60%)
Main uncertainty: Altrincham are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model56%
- Goals model66%
- Recent-form model60%
Component disagreement: 10.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 61% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 61%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.