ADO Den Haag v Cambuur
18+Eredivisie · Sat 19 Sept, 14:30
Data: excellent
- ADO Den Haag win
- 43%
- Draw
- 23%
- Cambuur win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
ADO Den Haag to win
Model probability 43%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score37 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- ADO Den Haag strength rating 1578 v Cambuur 1582
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 45%, goals 46%, recent form 32%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model45%
- Goals model46%
- Recent-form model32%
Component disagreement: 14.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 43% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:04), now 43%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.