Accrington Stanley v Salford City
18+EFL League Two · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Accrington Stanley win
- 40%
- Draw
- 26%
- Salford City win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
Accrington Stanley to win
Model probability 40%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Accrington Stanley strength rating 1463 v Salford City 1487
- Accrington Stanley home record this season: 3W 3D 0L
- Salford City away form: 4W 1D 2L, 16 scored / 11 conceded
- Accrington Stanley unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 41%, goals 42%, recent form 33%)
Main uncertainty: Salford City are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model41%
- Goals model42%
- Recent-form model33%
Component disagreement: 9.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:13. Read the methodology.