Solihull Moors v FC Halifax Town
18+National League · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00
Data: good
- Solihull Moors win
- 31%
- Draw
- 26%
- FC Halifax Town win
- 43%
FootyGrounds prediction
FC Halifax Town to win
Model probability 43%
Predicted scoreline
1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score30 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- FC Halifax Town strength rating 1388 v Solihull Moors 1331
- FC Halifax Town away record this season: 1W 0D 3L
- Solihull Moors home form: 1W 0D 4L, 4 scored / 10 conceded
- Superior goal difference: FC Halifax Town +3 v Solihull Moors -11
- FC Halifax Town have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 35%, goals 49%, recent form 47%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model35%
- Goals model49%
- Recent-form model47%
Component disagreement: 14.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 43% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 43%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.