Blackpool v Plymouth Argyle
18+EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Blackpool win
- 45%
- Draw
- 24%
- Plymouth Argyle win
- 31%
FootyGrounds prediction
Blackpool to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Blackpool strength rating 1505 v Plymouth Argyle 1507
- Blackpool home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
- Plymouth Argyle away form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 5 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 46%, recent form 40%)
Main uncertainty: Plymouth Argyle are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model46%
- Recent-form model40%
Component disagreement: 5.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.