D.C. United v Charlotte FC
18+Major League Soccer · Sat 19 Sept, 23:30
Data: good
- D.C. United win
- 41%
- Draw
- 24%
- Charlotte FC win
- 35%
FootyGrounds prediction
D.C. United to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score32 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- D.C. United strength rating 1620 v Charlotte FC 1620
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 46%, goals 35%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model35%
Component disagreement: 11.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.