Real Salt Lake v Vancouver Whitecaps FC
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 20 Sept, 01:30
Data: good
- Real Salt Lake win
- 37%
- Draw
- 23%
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC win
- 40%
FootyGrounds prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps FC to win
Model probability 40%
Predicted scoreline
1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score21 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC strength rating 1620 v Real Salt Lake 1620
- Superior goal difference: Vancouver Whitecaps FC +30 v Real Salt Lake -2
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 30%, goals 52%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 22 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model30%
- Goals model52%
Component disagreement: 21.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 40% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 40%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.